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Keeping the Lights On: How Nuclear Power Will Boost Stability for Australia’s Grid

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Posted

20 Feb 2025

Author

Jonathan Carroll
Director & Engineering Manager

Referenced

[1] AEMO, “2024 Integrated System Plan,” Appendix 7, Australian Energy Market Operator, 2024. [2] IEEE Power & Energy Society, “Grid Stability and Renewable Integration,” IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 38, no. 4, pp. 1235-1247, 2023. [3] ERCOT, “Final Report on the February 2021 Texas Blackouts,” Electric Reliability Council of Texas, 2021. [4] AEMO, “ISP Overview 2024: Key Findings,” Australian Energy Market Operator, 2024. [5] P. Kundur, Power System Stability and Control, McGraw-Hill, 1994.

Australia’s energy landscape is changing fast. As we shift toward renewables like wind and solar, keeping the power grid stable is becoming a bigger challenge. Grid stability isn’t just a technical buzzword—it’s the backbone of a reliable electricity supply. So, what does it take to keep the lights on, and could nuclear power be the missing piece in Australia’s energy puzzle? Let’s break it down.


What Is Grid Stability, Anyway?


Think of the power grid like a giant pendulum. Push it gently, and it swings a bit before settling back to normal—stable and predictable. That’s what a healthy grid does when hit with disruptions, like a sudden spike in demand or a generator going offline. But imagine trying to balance a pencil on its tip. Nudge it, and it falls—no recovery, just chaos. That’s an unstable grid, and it’s what we risk if we don’t get the fundamentals right.


Grid stability boils down to three big factors: frequency, voltage, and rotor angle. Frequency keeps everything humming at 50 Hz—deviate too far, and generators can lose sync, triggering blackouts. Voltage needs to stay steady (around 400 V in a three-phase system) to avoid frying equipment. And rotor angle? That’s about keeping all the big generators in step with each other, like dancers in a perfectly choreographed routine.




The Nuts and Bolts of a Stable Grid


Here’s where it gets technical—but stick with me. Frequency stability relies on something called the “swing equation” (don’t worry, no math test here). It’s all about balancing the power going in (from generators) with the power going out (to your home). Big machines like coal, gas, hydro, and nuclear plants provide **inertia**—a kind of buffer that slows down frequency swings when things go off-kilter. Wind and solar? They don’t naturally offer that buffer, which is a problem as we lean more on renewables.


Voltage stability keeps the grid’s “pressure” just right, using tools like automatic voltage regulators and capacitor banks. Rotor angle stability, meanwhile, ensures generators stay in sync, damped by devices like power system stabilizers. Together, these keep the grid from spiraling into chaos.


But here’s the kicker: as we retire coal plants and ramp up renewables, we’re losing that crucial inertia and damping. The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) predicts a 66% drop in National Electricity Market (NEM) inertia by 2029-30—from 63,000 MW-s to just 21,000 MW-s. That’s a massive gap, and it’s raising red flags.



Is Australia Underestimating the Inertia Problem?


The AEMO’s Integrated System Plan (ISP) is our roadmap for the energy future, but it’s got some blind spots. It bets big on fixes like synchronous condensers (spinning machines that mimic inertia) and grid-forming inverters (fancy electronics that try to stabilize things). Problem is, these can’t fully replace what we’re losing as coal exits the stage. The 2021 Texas blackout—where low inertia left the grid defenseless—shows what’s at stake: uncontrollable frequency swings, cascading failures, and millions in the dark.


Worse, the ISP doesn’t even model nuclear power as an option. That’s a head-scratcher, because nuclear could plug this gap with low-emission, reliable energy—and it’s already working elsewhere.


Nuclear vs. the Rest: A Stability Showdown


Let’s stack up the contenders:


- Coal, Gas, Hydro, Nuclear: These synchronous generators are the heavy hitters. They provide inertia, damping, and power injection—everything a stable grid craves.

- Synchronous Condensers: They offer inertia and damping but don’t generate power. Useful, but not a full solution.

- Grid-Forming Inverters: Found in some advanced solar and wind setups, they mimic stability features—partially. Still experimental and limited.

- Grid-Following Inverters: Standard in most renewables, they deliver power but no inertia or damping. They’re followers, not stabilizers.


Nuclear stands out here. Like coal and hydro, it keeps the grid steady while pumping out reliable, low-carbon energy. Wind and solar are great for cutting emissions, but they leave the grid fragile without backup.


Why Damping and Inertia Matter


Back to that pendulum analogy: damping is the hand slowing it down so it stops swinging. In the grid, damping comes from synchronous machines and control systems. More damping means faster recovery from disturbances; less damping means wild power swings that can crash the system. Nuclear, with its steady spin, boosts damping naturally—something renewables can’t replicate on their own.


Inertia, meanwhile, is like the pendulum’s weight. Heavier weight (higher inertia) means slower swings, giving the system time to react. The ISP’s inertia shortfall could leave us with a grid that flips out over small hiccups—think high “Rate of Change of Frequency” (RoCoF), instability, and blackouts.




The Takeaway: Nuclear Deserves a Seat at the Table


Australia’s push for renewables is noble, but stability can’t be an afterthought. Over-relying on wind and solar without enough synchronous generation is like building a house with no foundation—it won’t stand up to a storm. Nuclear offers a proven way to shore things up: it’s low-emission, reliable, and packs the inertia and damping we’re losing.


The ISP’s omission of nuclear isn’t just an oversight—it’s a missed opportunity. To avoid Texas-style disasters and keep the lights on, Australia needs a mix that includes hydro, nuclear, and other synchronous sources alongside renewables. Stability isn’t optional—it’s essential.


What do you think? Should Australia rethink nuclear’s role in our energy future? Drop your thoughts below—I’d love to hear them!


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